NEW YORK _
The irony of the U.S. immigration debate is
that whatever Congress does _ or what the
xenophobic groups on the border do _ won't make
much difference because hundreds of thousands
of immigrants will continue pouring in every
year. With or without documentation.
Why? Because the
problem of undocumented immigrants is an
economic one. While there is a surplus of
workers in Mexico and a deficit of workers in
the United States, the flow of immigrants from
south to north will persist. As simple as that.
In spite of
promises made in 2000 by a then-presidential
candidate named Vicente Fox, Mexico has not
been able to create a million jobs a year. And
what do young people who cannot find work in
Mexico do? Many migrate to the United States.
Without that escape valve, Mexico would be even
poorer.
The bad news is
that, in the near or distant future, Mexico
will still not be able to create the employment
opportunities needed to absorb the 1 million
workers who enter the job market each year. In
other words, Mexico will expel millions of its
workers to try their luck north of the border.
Roughly every
minute, a Mexican crosses illegally into the
United States or enters as a tourist and stays.
Every minute. That amounts to half a million a
year.
At the same time,
the U.S. Border Patrol, every minute, catches
two immigrants attempting an illegal crossing
from Mexico. In 2005, they made nearly 1.2
million arrests (many of those immigrants more
than once).
The result is a
kind of filter: For every two immigrants
arrested, one immigrant slips by. That is a 33
percent failure rate.
As the world's
only superpower, the United States tends to
believe it can solve all its problems alone.
But that isn't the case.
The United States
got into a war in Iraq without U.N. support,
and now chaos and death prevail there. It
declined to sign the Kyoto Protocol to reduce
toxic gas emissions in the atmosphere _
contrary to what the rest of the world did _
and so, global warming manifested itself with a
vengeance in the United States in the form of
last year's hurricane season, particularly
Hurricane Katrina. It is the same thing with
the immigration issue.
The United States
believes it can control its borders without any
help. But it can't. To do that, it must have
the cooperation of Mexico and other Latin
American countries.
The issue is
simple. As Willi Chirino's song goes,
immigrants keep coming. So, it should be made
easier for them to register on the border _ or
at U.S. consulates in Tijuana, Monterrey, etc.
_ before they take the terrible risk of
crossing with a "coyote" through rivers,
deserts and mountains. (Last year, 464
immigrants lost their lives trying to cross
illegally.)
Even after the
May 1 boycott and marches _ and I witnessed an
impressive one here in this city _ there is
still a counterculture that wants to limit
immigrants' rights. But the protests have
already made their mark. Thanks to massive
media coverage, no one in the United States can
say he's not aware of immigrants' huge
contributions to the country or of their
precarious conditions. Nor of the necessity to
change the current inefficient immigration
laws.
In the next few
days, the Senate will have a chance to legalize
the 12 million undocumented immigrants who are
already here, and to grant visas to the half
million who annually arrive without
documentation.
This is a
difficult step, I know, but it's realistic.
Besides, it is good for the United States:
Immigrants fill the jobs Americans won't take,
they pay taxes, create jobs, control inflation
and pay for the retirement of a rapidly aging
population. In a nutshell, they are big
business.
If the senators
don't do it, if they yield to anti-immigrant
pressure or come up with a decision that
appeases the most conservative and least
informed voters, they will surely miss a
historical opportunity to resolve a problem
that has been growing since 1986.
Moreover, without
the United States knowing who resides in the
country and without controlling its southern
border, the fight against terror becomes
considerably less effective.
The conclusion:
For the United States to seriously limit the
entry of undocumented immigrants and retake
control of its border, a system must be in
place that can realistically grant entry and
work permits to people who will try to enter
anyway.
Hunger is
stronger than fear. So they will keep coming...