Latin
Americans no longer fear the left.
The times
when political parties or left-leaning groups
were synonymous with revolution, the seizing of
power by force, the dictatorship of the
proletariat, and Marx as god, are long gone.
Today, the
left in Latin America has learned to play and
win in a democracy, to function in
market-driven economies in globalized
societies, and to take advantage of the huge
vacuum for decades left by traditional
political parties.
The left
has straightened up.
The victory
of Socialist candidate Michelle Bachelet in the
presidential election held last Sunday in
Chile, and the great possibilities of victory
by indigenous leader Evo Morales this coming
Sunday in Bolivia, attest to the fact that a
left-leaning wave is spreading throughout Latin
America. It is not just a flash in the pan.
However,
the left has yet to show that, besides winning
elections, it can govern.
Nestor
Kirchner in Argentina, Tabare Vazquez in
Uruguay, Lula da Silva in Brazil, Ricardo Lagos
in Chile and Hugo Chavez in Venezuela came to
power through huge popular discontent with
preceding governments. Latin Americans are sick
and tired of so-called liberal, or right wing,
politicians who filled their pockets while
their countries became impoverished.
That is why
now, after two lost decades, voters are giving
the left a chance. The prevailing attitude is
this: the right and the traditional parties
already tried and failed, so, why not let the
left have a go?
The hope is
they will steal less, lead better, create more
jobs, reduce social inequalities, refrain from
violent repression, and, most importantly, tell
the truth.
The central
challenge in Latin America is poverty. There is
no other. More than half the population in
Latin America is poor and lives on salaries of
less than $5 a day. That is why they complain
and that is why they migrate to the United
States. The great tragedy of the late 20th
century and the beginning of the 21st is that
neo-liberal policies have done nothing to
reduce the numbers of poor, with the notable
exception of Chile.
Lagos, the
outgoing president of Chile, is the best
example of how politicians of the left can be
prudent (though "conservative" could be the
description) in their handling of the economy
without sacrificing their socialist ideas.
Today there are fewer poor in Chile than when
Lagos came to office.
By
contrast, Chavez, the Venezuelan president
trying to extend his grip on power beyond 2013,
is an example of how populism, nationalism and
facile anti-American rhetoric can inflict
damage on a society. In spite of soaring prices
of oil, Venezuela's principal resource, there
are greater numbers of poor people and less
democracy in that country today than when
Chavez came to power.
Chavez, as
a soldier, knows only how to use
confrontational language _ the recent insults
leveled against the American and Mexican
presidents and whomever else gets in his way
are examples _ but as a leader and
administrator he has turned out to be more than
mediocre. Also, his alliance with Castro's Cuba
suggests little imagination and muddled,
outmoded ideological thinking.
The black
hole of Latin America's left is Cuba. It's
incomprehensible and inexcusable that leaders
who came to power in legitimate and competitive
elections pay homage to Cuban dictator Fidel
Castro. It is extreme hypocrisy to call for
democracy for Brazilians, Argentineans and
Uruguayans, but not for Cubans on the island,
who can't even use the Internet freely and are
jailed for voicing opposition to the
46-year-old regime.
Castro and
Chavez would undoubtedly love to sequester the
new Latin American left. Now, however, being
democratic is more important than being on the
left. Having connections to either of these two
little tyrants would be the kiss of death in
today's free elections.
As one
example, take a look at the political juggling
of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, the Mexican
Democratic Revolution Party's presidential
candidate, as he tries to avoid being labeled
by his opponents as the "Mexican Chavez." If
that label sticks, he could lose the July 2,
2006 election.
What all
this means is there is more than one kind of
left. There's a new left: efficient, realistic,
young and democratic. But it has yet to
separate itself from the old authoritarian
left: violent, reactionary, narcissistic and
horrifyingly useless when it comes to
governing.
This seems
to be the new era of the left in Latin America.
We'll see it in the 10 elections coming up in
2006. But to be successful, they have to
provide concrete solutions to concrete
problems. It is not enough simply to get into
power. In the end, the left, as any other form
of government, will be measured by their
results, not their rhetoric.
Fighting
for the poor and exploited is as idealistic now
as it was during the Mexican Revolution in
1910, or the Sandinista Revolution in 1979.
It's a matter of emphasis: to defend those at
the bottom and not those at the top.
But not
until now is there a real possibility that the
majority of the 500 million in Latin America
will be governed by the left. Let's see how it
will go.
It will be
simple to figure out whether they're successful
or not. If by the end of their terms there are
fewer poor and more young people with good
jobs, that will be called a success. If there
are fewer wealthy politicians by the end of
their mandates, that, too, will be a success.
If by the end of their terms fewer people
decide to emigrate to the North, that will be a
success. If by the end of their periods in
office there is more social stability and less
criminality, they will have succeeded.
Moreover,
if by the end of their administrations, Latin
America, as a region, can compete with China,
India, the United States and the European
Union, then, and only then, will they be called
a success.
Meanwhile,
the left is merely a promise.